4/22/12 Nor-easter potential
Looks like quite an intense storm could ride right up the coast (similar to what Irene did). The models were sort of showing this a few days ago and then some of them lost it so we weren't really sure how it would play out. But it is definitely back on again.
Saturday PM will bring some showers and even a t-storm as a cold front goes through. Definitely much needed rain. But the 2nd part of this will be the nor-easter later Sunday. Very interesting storm to track. Heavy rains and winds definitely possible. Stay tuned.
Bryan Thanks for the heads up Bryan! I know we need the rain but hoping it won't be so extreme...
JagThanks Bryan. Thank goodness we have the sump pumps and french drains ready now. Bring it on!!!
Lady Jayne I LOVE all types of weather, so bring it! Watch this storm whoop a$$ and make up for the lack of winter we had.
Wild Angel i am scheduled to be outside all day sunday, like from noon till 7:00 PM,
hope it don't get too bad.
BrotherDog I agree Wild Angel. I still think Mother Nature is going to dole out some surprise for us before Summer...
Lori...since '73 We sure do need rain, Bryan. I hope this storm pans out like you are saying. Thanks for keeping us updated!
Iris Guess we should take the paddle boat out of the water and secure her. At least the grass we seeded 2 weeks ago has started to grow so that won't get washed away.
Bring it on! Going to test the sump now and make sure its working:)
blackcat Yes....we not only need some rain but some weather excitement around here! Was just watching the weather segment on News Channel 12 and they said upwards of 2 to 3 inches of rain over the weekend. A shame it has to hit over the weekend though.
Vic Brian if the storm is coming up the coast from the south, why would it be called a noreaster?
eapos I just want it to hold off as much as possible until noon not to interfere with yard sales. And positively stay 100 million miles away from next weekend when the yard sales are really serious - now that would be a disaster if this weekend is also washed out... Rain on one or the other, but not both!! ;-)
GC That's a good question easpos. This is a complex storm. There will be a piece coming from the west and another from the south. Basically the jet streams looks like they will phase both pieces and a big storm will bomb out right off the coast as it crosses our area and heads to our northeast - which will technically make it a nor-easter at that point. From there it is going to almost stall and then retrograde northwest into southeast Canada. Of course this is what the models show now, things could change. But if it does this it would be pretty rare and quite a storm for a lot of people. It will be interesting to track. If this were a month earlier the snowbunnies would be bouncing off the ceiling LOL.
Ever ponder why Mother Nature goes from one extreme to another so many times?
Could it be that despite all our advanced technology and "knowledge" someone up there still wants to remind us who is really in charge and also remind us we need to help each other?
Andy Loigu 
KAT 
icicle I think someone will get snow from this but we're talking western PA and the Adirondacks i would think at this point.
April showers bring May flowers? We'll just have to see what Weather Works tells us about all this. At least we've been warned. In history some of the worst disasters in terms of loss of life have occurred when the people did not know a storm was coming.
I'll take any kind of storm.....snow is my favorite...but a noreaster still tickles my fancy!
Keep us posted B!
Ladybug 
emaxxman The last few storms have been devastating for us. Get the pots of water ready - no power = no toilets, water, electricity. Wonderful. You KNOW the power will go out if the past is any indication.
LM1 We havent had any type of significant storm since the late Oct snowstorm last year. Pretty amazing to go that long, especially through a winter.
@ Ladybug
[Quote!] I'll take any kind of storm.....snow is my favorite [ Quote ]
Same here ladybug. Ditto!
Better Yet..." A storm at sea on a Tin Can Ship! Salt wash / spray / lightening / listing side to side, and while head on through the swells; and bobbing and smashing through.. is heaven for me!
embryodad Now my question is should I apply the seed starting fertilizer I just got or wait until Monday. Says not to do it if heavy rain is forecast.
By the way Home Depot has Bonnie veggie plants half price. I got mine- keeping thenm indoors for a bit though:)
An hour ago on Weather Channel saw that 2 or 3 inches of rain is expected from the event.
Eapos, Nor'easter term is typically applied to a storm riding up east coast with the counter-clockwise rotation, causing the winds to be locked pretty much steady coming from the northeast. My wind vane stays locked on at NE, pretty much never get such consistent wind direction any other time. Glad I didn't put the canopy up over the tiki bar yet.
Bruin 
CJ. With the drought-like conditions we've been in for some time now, is there really a serious concern for flooding?
Tracy Hazardous Wx Outlook - not exactly sure where the heaviest rain and wind will track quite yet, it will be close...
http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=NJZ008&warncounty=NJC027&firewxzone=NJZ008&local_place1=Lake+Hopatcong+NJ&product1=Hazardous+Weather+Outlook
That's what I was wondering, Tracy. OR will it all run off because the ground is so hard and dry?
3wbdwnj May need to drive to Pittsburgh on Monday. Wondering if I should postpone until Tuesday. Looks like the mountains might get hit rather hard.
lilacpuppies There are 2 things that could cause flooding with this storm. The ground being so dry won't be able to absorb a ton of rain right away. Plus we could be looking at a good inch or two of rain in a very short period of time so flash flooding could be an issue. Still hard to say the exact track of the storm but i would think we are looking at 2-4 inches of rain (not counting what we get later Saturday since that is just from a cold front, not the nor-easter).
BTW - let's get through the main storm first but we could even see a few snowflakes Monday night! Nothing to worry about but still. Crazy stuff.
@ Andy Loigu
"Ever ponder why Mother Nature goes from one extreme to another so many times?
Could it be that despite all our advanced technology and "knowledge" someone up there still wants to remind us who is really in charge and also remind us we need to help each other?"
No Andy, I never ponder.
TU 
darlughh Flood watch out
http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=NJZ008&warncounty=NJC027&firewxzone=NJZ008&local_place1=Lake+Hopatcong+NJ&product1=Hazardous+Weather+Outlook
Pretty good line of storms nearing eastern PA too. They should hold off for at least a few more hours here though.
Tomorrow rain redevlops late morning. Heavier rains later in the day with gusty winds continuing into the night.
Rebecka 
beach comber A crack of thunder, heavy winds, slashing rain in Mansfield Village. For 3 minutes and it's over? Is that it?
cbel Sugar was not happy about all of that pelting rain - some lightning and she instantly goes ballistic enough on its own. The rain had her head underneath warm fuzzing furniture at break neck speed.
Tigger almost raised an eyelid. But not really.
It was interesting, but radar says there's a bit more to this. At least for the next couple of hours before the real thing gets here.
cbel, good thing it was only 3 minutes. I realized my moon roof was open and had to run out to my car and close it :'(
maja Severe t-storm warning until 10:45 now, new front coming through, should touch morris county and southern warren county. Then heavy rains come in tomorrow through Monday.
towny This is just the cold front coming through. There could still be another shower or t-shower but the worst has passed. Still it's much needed rain but we will get quite a bit more later tomorrow.
Bryan - your post is a bit unclear. Worst has passed but we're going to get a lot more tomorrow?
Are you saying that the most intense rainfall has passed and will get rain of a longer duration but more normal intensity tomorrow?
No he's saying for tonight it's done with.. But tomorrow night is whn the nor'easter starts. Very heavy rainfall and gusty winds.. Could be 2.5 to 4 inches.
Justspeakinthetruth 
Firefly sorry emaxx - tonight is just a cold front. Tomorrow is the nor-easter, especially later in the day.
Bryan - It might be time for you to start the 2012 Thunderstorm Thread. A lot of lightning last night.
Calico696 Yeah i was thinking about that Calico. Let's wait until after the nor-easter. Funny that we had a few t-storms over the winter but we haven't had one now in months, until last night. Pretty late in the spring for the first t-storm.
Nosila That storm left a surprise for this morning ... the trees in full blossom dropped so many petals that it's turned the yard pink!
redmink1 
Oh, Redmink1...Such beautiful trees but, I guess we enjoy them while we can. Took a ride around town the other day just for that purpose to enjoy seeing the beautiful magnolia, dogwood, cherry blossom, etc. trees.
Joyful Thunderstorm = a little boy crawling into our bed. And now I do think our older kitty has lost most of her hearing as she was on the bed with me during the loudest part. She was always the first one to show signs of a thunderstorm approaching.
redmink1 - Do you have a white car? I saw someone at Shoprite with all of that on their white, now pink, car.
Love the pink trees. We have two in our yard. They look beautiful each year. We took pics of my daughter yesterday before the rain. I like the color of the lawn when all of the petals on the grass too.
redmink1 - I felt too sorry for the poor person given what it looked like. And it was pouring. But yet, pretty much photo worthy. ;-)
CJ, are you sure that is current for this storm? I'm no meteorologist, but I don't see us getting 6-10" of snow...
Natalie: I just heard there is to be snow tomorrow in certain areas of Pa. but did not hear about any predicted for New Jersey.
Up to one inch exactly as of 1800, including last night's storm. Another one to two inches tonight, not too bad. Definitely gotta sharpen mower blades!
Bonv Bruin, do you delight in lawn mowing or just delight in getting ahead of it? Just struck me funny to think of work! On a Sunday!!
Already looking like a jungle out there, and I still haven't taken snowthrower off tractor. Guess I got my day off planned for tomorrow. Actually kind of dread mowing season. It takes me several hours to get it all done.
6 to 18 inches of snow for central and westerm PA. Poconos could get a coating. Would not be surprised to have some wet flakes here but that would be tomorrow night.
Big rain and wind bands starting to come through our area now. The worst will be now through the next 6 hours or so.
Bruin i already have an inch just from today's rain.
What a downpour. Walking the dogs at ten thirty at night in the cold rain is... special.
Rebecka, Do they go out willingly in this weather or do you have to give them a swift kick in the butt to get them out the door? My pups would rather "hold it" all night than venture out on an evening like this.
Slade My dog hates the rain. He has to be coaxed (gently pulled) out the door, then he goes to nearest bush/tree, empties his bladder, and goes right back in the house.
He'll hold #2 all night or until no rain... I think he held it for 1-1/2 days once. (we don't have a fence, my dog has to be leash walked for potty, and it usually takes him 5min into the walk to go #2.)
JeffersonRepub Bryan... Do you know many inches of rain we received in our area in the past 48 hours?
Jean09 I ususally take the dog out at night for her last "out" but my husband decided to do it. She barely got out of the door before she turned around to come back in. He said forget it. He walks away and she looked at the door then me and whined. I guess she needed me to take her out. So i suited up to go out but she got a few feet and decided it wasn't going to be any better. She made it until this morning without one whimper throught the night. What a good girl:) thank you rain gods for giving her a little break this morning to get her business done.
Topped out at 2.75" down in my end of valley. That's 54,308 gallons per acre of land. Or enough to fill 1,867 40-gallon baths! Have fun with this page from USGS, you can play with different lot sizes to see how many gallons of water fell in YOUR yard by adjusting the lot size. http://ga.water.usgs.gov/edu/sc2.html
Mine are the opposite I have to yell at them to come in or they would be out there all day playing and digging in it
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